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by Robert W. Chandler, Ronald J. Trees (Contributor)
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Reviews Book Description Saddam Hussein's secret "how-to" manual for developing nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons and missiles to deliver them offers novel proliferation recipes for use by today's rogue regimes and super-terrorists. Preparing to fight the last war has long been the bane of military strategy. During the 1990-91 Persian Gulf War, intelligence specialists toiled endless hours to develop target lists of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and missiles. These killer weapons were designated as a "centers of gravity" of Saddam Hussein's regime by the U.S.-led Coalition of countries arrayed to eject Iraq from Kuwait. These targets would have a top priority in the bombing campaign to destroy them before they could be used against Coalition forces and friendly countries, as well as to weaken Saddam Hussein's regime. In the end 98 targets made the Coalition bombing list and several of them were hammered repeatedly during the January 1991 air war. After the war, the U.N. Special Commission of Iraq (UNSCOM) was established to conduct on- site inspections in Iraq with the purpose of destroying its nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons and missiles with a range greater than 93 miles. It did not take long for inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on loan to the U.N. to uncover a massive clandestine nuclear weapons program. The Coalition's target list had just nine nuclear targets, four of them added during the last 48 hours of the war. By comparison, the UNSCOM on-site inspection reports revealed 56 nuclear facilities or sites that would have been potential targets had the Coalition know about them. More than four years after the war, it took a high-placed defector from Saddam Hussein's inner circle to expose a huge clandestine biological weapons program, including enough botulinum to kill 15 billion people. Meanwhile, chemical weapons seemed to turn up repeatedly in unsuspected places, including southern Iraq near the Gulf War battle zone. Thousands of rockets, artillery shells, bombs, and other munitions filled with deadly chemical agents were destroyed by UNSCOM. Many of Iraq's Scud missiles, including long- range versions, also were destroyed by the U.N. inspectors, but perhaps as many of a hundred or more missiles, in a grand cat-and-mouse game orchestrated from Baghdad, seem to have eluded the inspectors. They remain unaccounted for. What is the relevance of these findings? For one thing, future proliferators of weapons of mass destruction will look something like Iraq in 1990-91. After all, the research and development, production, storage, training, delivery systems, and actual use are very much the sake from country to country. Hence, Saddam Hussein blazed a new trail for today's proliferators to follow. Iraq's WMD/missile arsenals offer a snapshot of our future. Tomorrow's War, Today's Decisions provides an essential foundation stone of Robert Chandler's October 1998 follow-on book, The New Face of War, which applies the much ballyhooed but under appreciated "Revolution in Military Affairs" to the problem of proliferation today and in the decade ahead. Tomorrow's War, Today's Decisions also provides essential background for appreciating the eloquent and honest critique of contemporary American policy toward Iraq expressed by former UNSCOM inspector Scott Ritter. Synopsis
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